Remember all sorts of conspiracy theories about, but it turns out that another planet still exists. Well, at least with a probability of 99.993.
And here's how it happened.
Astronomers Mike Brown and Konstantin Batygin of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena reported the discovery of an object the size of Neptune, which is 10 times heavier than the Earth, outside the orbit of Pluto. The authors published the results of the search for Planet X in The Astronomical Journal, and Science News briefly talks about them.
The planet revolves around the Sun in an elongated orbit (and in a plane inclined relative to the Earth's orbit) with a period of 15 thousand years. Its chemical composition is similar to those of the gas giants Uranus and Neptune. According to Brown and Batygin, the object was knocked out of the protoplanetary disk near the Sun 4.5 billion years ago.
The nearest distance between the Sun and the detected object is 200 astronomical units (this is seven times the distance between Neptune and the star). The maximum removal of Planet X is estimated at 600-1200 astronomical units, which brings its orbit beyond the Kuiper Belt, in which Pluto is located.
The referent of the work of scientists in The Astronomical Journal was the planetary scientist Michael Brown, who, together with colleagues in 2003, discovered the dwarf planet Sedna, which makes a complete revolution around the Sun in 11.4 thousand years. The specialist was optimistic about the chances of the discovery of Planet X by Brown and Batygin.
Scientists have discovered a new planet by analyzing data on the gravitational perturbation it exerts on other celestial bodies. As Brown and Batygin note, astronomers will believe in their discovery when they can observe the planet through a telescope. To do this, they reserved time at the Japanese Subaru Observatory in Hawaii.
Confirmation of the existence of a celestial body will take five years. If discovered, the object could become the ninth planet in the solar system. The error probability Brown and Batygin estimate at 0.007 percent. Earlier searches for Planet X in the solar system led scientists to discover Neptune (in 1864) and Pluto (in 1930).
Mike Brown and Konstantin Batygin, Photo by Popular Science
But back in 2012, according to the calculations of an astronomer from Brazil, there is a rather large space object beyond the orbit of Neptune, which can be recognized as the ninth planet.
With such an assumption, an astronomer from the National Observatory of Brazil Rodney da Silva Gomes made. He drew attention to the deviation from the given calculations of the orbits of six Kuiper belt objects, among which the contender for the title of a dwarf planet is Sedna.
According to him, there are several explanations for the unusual behavior of some objects in the belt. The simplest is the existence of a large body, a planet that changes their orbits with its gravity.
Scientists at the California Institute of Technology announced the discovery. So far, no one has seen a new object through a telescope. According to Michael Brown and Konstantin Batygin, the planet was discovered by analyzing data on the gravitational perturbation it exerts on other celestial bodies. The name has not yet been given to her, but scientists have been able to determine various parameters. It weighs 10 times more than the Earth. The chemical composition of the new planet resembles two gas giants - Uranus and Neptune. By the way, it is similar to Neptune in its size, and is even further from the sun than Pluto, which, due to its modest size, has lost its status as a planet. Confirmation of the existence of a celestial body will take five years. Scientists have booked time at a Japanese observatory in Hawaii. The probability that their discovery is wrong is 0.007 percent. The new planet, if the discovery is recognized, will be the ninth in the solar system.
The solar system appears to have a new ninth planet. Today, two scientists announced evidence that a body nearly the size of Neptune-but as yet unseen-orbits the sun every 15,000 years. During the solar system's infancy 4.5 billion years ago, they say, the giant planet was knocked out of the planet-forming region near the sun. Slowed down by gas, the planet settled into a distant elliptical orbit, where it still lurks today.
The claim is the strongest yet in the centuries-long search for a "Planet X" beyond Neptune. The quest has been plagued by far-fetched claims and even outright quackery. But the new evidence comes from a pair of respected planetary scientists, Konstantin Batygin and Mike Brown of the California Institute of Technology (Caltech) in Pasadena, who prepared for the inevitable skepticism with detailed analyzes of the orbits of other distant objects and months of computer simulations. “If you say, ‘We have evidence for Planet X,’ almost any astronomer will say, ‘This again? These guys are clearly crazy.’ I would, too,” Brown says. Why is this different? This is different because this time we're right."
LANCE HAYASHIDA/CALTECH
Outside scientists say their calculations stack up and express a mixture of caution and excitement about the result. “I could not imagine a bigger deal if-and of course that’s a boldface ‘if’-if it turns out to be right,” says Gregory Laughlin, a planetary scientist at the University of California (UC), Santa Cruz. "What's thrilling about it is detectable."
Batygin and Brown inferred its presence from the peculiar clustering of six previously known objects that orbit beyond Neptune. They say there's only a 0.007% chance, or about one in 15,000, that the clustering could be a coincidence. Instead, they say, a planet with the mass of 10 Earths has shepherded the six objects into their strange elliptical orbits, tilted out of the plane of the solar system.
The orbit of the inferred planet is similarly tilted, as well as stretched to distances that will explode previous conceptions of the solar system. Its closest approach to the sun is seven times farther than Neptune, or 200 astronomical units (AUs). (An AU is the distance between Earth and the sun, about 150 million kilometers.) And Planet X could roam as far as 600 to 1200 AU, well beyond the Kuiper belt, the region of small icy worlds that begins at Neptune's edge about 30 AU.
If Planet X is out there, Brown and Batygin say, astronomers ought to find more objects in telltale orbits, shaped by the pull of the hidden giant. But Brown knows that no one will really believe in the discovery until Planet X itself appears within a telescope viewfinder. "Until there's a direct detection, it's a hypothesis-even a potentially very good hypothesis," he says. The team has time on the one large telescope in Hawaii that is suited for the search, and they hope other astronomers will join in the hunt.
Batygin and Brown published the result today in The Astronomical Journal. Alessandro Morbidelli, a planetary dynamicist at the Nice Observatory in France, performed the peer review for the paper. In a statement, he says Batygin and Brown made a "very solid argument" and that he is "quite convinced by the existence of a distant planet."
Championing a new ninth planet is an ironic role for Brown; he is better known as a planet slayer. His 2005 discovery of Eris, a remote icy world nearly the same size as Pluto, revealed that what was seen as the outermost planet was just one of many worlds in the Kuiper belt. Astronomers promptly reclassified Pluto as a dwarf planet-a saga Brown recounted in his book How I Killed Pluto.
Now, he has joined the centuries-old search for new planets. His method-inferring the existence of Planet X from its ghostly gravitational effects-has a respectable track record. In 1846, for example, the French mathematician Urbain Le Verrier predicted the existence of a giant planet from irregularities in the orbit of Uranus. Astronomers at the Berlin Observatory found the new planet, Neptune, where it was supposed to be, sparking a media sensation.
Remaining hiccups in Uranus's orbit led scientists to think that there might yet be one more planet, and in 1906 Percival Lowell, a wealthy tycoon, began the search for what he called "Planet X" at his new observatory in Flagstaff, Arizona. In 1930, Pluto turned up-but it was far too small to tug meaningfully on Uranus. More than half a century later, new calculations based on measurements by the Voyager spacecraft revealed that the orbits of Uranus and Neptune were just fine on their own: No Planet X was needed.
Yet the allure of Planet X persisted. In the 1980s, for example, the researchers proposed that an unseen brown dwarf star could cause periodic extinctions on Earth by triggering fusillades of comets. In the 1990s, scientists invoked a Jupiter-sized planet at the solar system’s edge to explain the origin of certain oddball comets. Just last month, researchers claimed to have detected the faint microwave glow of an outsized rocky planet some 300 AU away, using an array of telescope dishes in Chile called the Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA). (Brown was one of many skeptics, noting that ALMA's narrow field of view made the chances of finding such an object vanishingly slim.)
Brown got his first inkling of his current quarry in 2003, when he led a team that found Sedna, an object a bit smaller than both Eris and Pluto. Sedna's odd, far-flung orbit made it the most distant known object in the solar system at the time. Its perihelion, or closest point to the sun, lay at 76 AU, beyond the Kuiper belt and far outside the influence of Neptune's gravity. The implication was clear: Something massive, well beyond Neptune, must have pulled Sedna into its distant orbit.
(DATA)JPL; BATYGIN AND BROWN/CALTECH; (DIAGRAM) A. CUADRA/ SCIENCE
That something didn't have to be a planet. Sedna’s gravitational nudge could have come from a passing star, or from one of the many other stellar nurseries that surrounded the nascent sun at the time of the solar system’s formation.
Since then, a handful of other icy objects have turned up in similar orbits. By combining Sedna with five other weirdos, Brown says he has ruled out stars as the unseen influence: Only a planet could explain such strange orbits. Of his three major discoveries-Eris, Sedna, and now, potentially, Planet X-Brown says the last is the most sensational. Killing Pluto was fun. Finding Sedna was scientifically interesting,” he says. "But this one, this is head and shoulders above everything else."
Brown and Batygin were nearly beaten to the punch. For years, Sedna was a lone clue to a perturbation from beyond Neptune. Then, in 2014, Scott Sheppard and Chad Trujillo (a former graduate student of Brown’s) published a paper describing the discovery of VP113, another object that never comes close to the sun. Sheppard, of the Carnegie Institution for Science in Washington, D.C., and Trujillo, of the Gemini Observatory in Hawaii, were well aware of the implications. They began to examine the orbits of the two objects along with 10 other oddballs. They noticed that, at perihelion, all came very near the plane of solar system in which Earth orbits, called the ecliptic. In a paper, Sheppard and Trujillo pointed out the peculiar clumping and raised the possibility that a distant large planet had herded the objects near the ecliptic. But they didn't press the result any further.
Later that year, at Caltech, Batygin and Brown began discussing the results. Plotting the orbits of the distant objects, Batygin says, they realized that the pattern that Sheppard and Trujillo had noticed "was only half of the story." Not only were the objects near the ecliptic at perihelia, but their perihelia were physically clustered in space (see diagram, above).
For the next year, the duo secretly discussed the pattern and what it meant. It was an easy relationship, and their skills complemented each other. Batygin, a 29-year-old whiz kid computer modeler, went to college at UC Santa Cruz for the beach and the chance to play in a rock band. But he made his mark there by modeling the fate of the solar system over billions of years, showing that, in rare cases, it was unstable: Mercury may plunge into the sun or collide with Venus. "It was an amazing accomplishment for an undergraduate," says Laughlin, who worked with him at the time.
Brown, 50, is the observational astronomer, with a flair for dramatic discoveries and the confidence to match. He wears shorts and sandals to work, puts his feet up on his desk, and has a breeziness that masks intensity and ambition. He has a program all set to sift for Planet X in data from a major telescope the moment they become publicly available later this year.
Their offices are a few doors down from each other. "My couch is nicer, so we tend to talk more in my office," Batygin says. "We tend to look more at data in Mike's." They even became exercise buddies, and discussed their ideas while waiting to get in the water at a Los Angeles, California, triathlon in the spring of 2015.
First, they winnowed the dozen objects studied by Sheppard and Trujillo to the six most distant-discovered by six different surveys on six different telescopes. That made it less likely that the clumping might be due to an observation bias such as pointing a telescope at a particular part of the sky.
Batygin began seeding his solar system models with Planet X’s of various sizes and orbits, to see which version best explained the objects’ paths. Some of the computer runs took months. A favored size for Planet X emerged-between five and 15 Earth masses-as well as a preferred orbit: antialigned in space from the six small objects, so that its perihelion is in the same direction as the six objects' aphelion, or farthest point from the sun. The orbits of the six cross that of Planet X, but not when the big bully is nearby and could disrupt them. The final epiphany came 2 months ago, when Batygin's simulations showed that Planet X should also sculpt the orbits of objects that swoop into the solar system from above and below, nearly orthogonal to the ecliptic. "It sparked this memory," Brown says. "I've seen these objects before." It turns out that, since 2002, five of these highly inclined Kuiper belt objects have been discovered, and their origins are largely unexplained. "Not only are they there, but they are in exactly the places we predicted," Brown says. "That is when I realized that this is not just an interesting and good idea-this is actually real."
Sheppard, who with Trujillo had also suspected an unseen planet, says Batygin and Brown “took our result to the next level. …They got deep into the dynamics, something that Chad and I aren’t really good with. That's why I think this is exciting."
Others, like planetary scientist Dave Jewitt, who discovered the Kuiper belt, are more cautious. The 0.007% chance that the clustering of the six objects is coincidental gives the planet claim a statistical significance of 3.8 sigma-beyond the 3-sigma threshold typically required to be taken seriously, but short of the 5 sigma that is sometimes used in fields like particle physics. That worries Jewitt, who has seen plenty of 3-sigma results disappear before. By reducing the dozen objects examined by Sheppard and Trujillo to six for their analysis, Batygin and Brown weakened their claim, he says. "I worry that the finding of a single new object that is not in the group would destroy the whole edifice," says Jewitt, who is at UC Los Angeles. "It's a game of sticks with only six sticks."
(IMAGES) WIKIMEDIA COMMONS; NASA/JPL-CALTECH; A. CUADRA/ SCIENCE ; NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI; (DIAGRAM) A. CUADRA/ SCIENCE
At first blush, another potential problem comes from NASA’s Widefield Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE), a satellite that completed an all-sky survey looking for the heat of brown dwarfs-or giant planets. It ruled out the existence of a Saturn-or-larger planet as far out as 10,000 AU, according to a 2013 study by Kevin Luhman, an astronomer at Pennsylvania State University, University Park. But Luhman notes that if Planet X is Neptune-sized or smaller, as Batygin and Brown say, WISE would have missed it. He says there is a slim chance of detection in another WISE data set at longer wavelengths-sensitive to cooler radiation-which was collected for 20% of the sky. Luhman is now analyzing those data.
Even if Batygin and Brown can convince other astronomers that Planet X exists, they face another challenge: explaining how it ended up so far from the sun. At such distances, the protoplanetary disk of dust and gas was likely to have been too thin to fuel planet growth. And even if Planet X did get a foothold as a planetesimal, it would have moved too slowly in its vast, lazy orbit to hoover up enough material to become a giant.
Instead, Batygin and Brown propose that Planet X formed much closer to the sun, alongside Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune. Computer models have shown that the early solar system was a tumultuous billiards table, with dozens or even hundreds of planetary building blocks the size of Earth bouncing around. Another embryonic giant planet could easily have formed there, only to be booted outward by a gravitational kick from another gas giant.
It’s harder to explain why Planet X didn’t either loop back around to where it started or leave the solar system entirely. But Batygin says that residual gas in the protoplanetary disk might have exerted enough drag to slow the planet just enough for it to settle into a distant orbit and remain in the solar system. That could have happened if the ejection took place when the solar system was between 3 million and 10 million years old, he says, before all the gas in the disk was lost into space.
Hal Levison, a planetary dynamicist at the Southwest Research Institute in Boulder, Colorado, agrees that something has to be creating the orbital alignment Batygin and Brown have detected. But he says the origin story they have developed for Planet X and their special pleading for a gas-slowed ejection add up to "a low-probability event." Other researchers are more positive. The proposed scenario is plausible, Laughlin says. "Usually things like this are wrong, but I'm really excited about this one," he says. "It's better than a coin flip."
All this means that Planet X will remain in limbo until it is actually found.
Astronomers have some good ideas about where to look, but spotting the new planet won't be easy. Because objects in highly elliptical orbits move fastest when they are close to the sun, Planet X spends very little time at 200 AU. And if it were there right now, Brown says, it would be so bright that astronomers probably would have already spotted it.
Instead, Planet X is likely to spend most of its time near aphelion, slowly trotting along at distances between 600 and 1200 AU. Most telescopes capable of seeing a dim object at such distances, such as the Hubble Space Telescope or the 10-meter Keck telescopes in Hawaii, have extremely tiny fields of view. It would be like looking for a needle in a haystack by peering through a drinking straw.
One telescope can help: Subaru, an 8-meter telescope in Hawaii that is owned by Japan. It has enough light-gathering area to detect such a faint object, coupled with a huge field of view-75 times larger than that of a Keck telescope. That allows astronomers to scan large swaths of the sky each night. Batygin and Brown are using Subaru to look for Planet X-and they are coordinating their efforts with their erstwhile competitors, Sheppard and Trujillo, who have also joined the hunt with Subaru. Brown says it will take about 5 years for the two teams to search most of the area where Planet X could be lurking.
Subaru Telescope, NAOJ
If the search pans out, what should the new member of the sun's family be called? Brown says it's too early to worry about that and scrupulously avoids offering up suggestions. For now, he and Batygin are calling it Planet Nine (and, for the past year, informally, Planet Phattie-1990s slang for "cool"). Brown notes that neither Uranus nor Neptune-the two planets discovered in modern times-ended up being named by their discoverers, and he thinks that that's probably a good thing. It's bigger than any one person, he says: "It's kind of like finding a new continent on Earth."
He is sure, however, that Planet X-unlike Pluto-deserves to be called a planet. Something the size of Neptune in the solar system? Don't even ask. "No one would argue this one, not even me."
Caltech scientists Michael Brown and Konstantin Batygin have provided evidence for the existence of a giant planet in the solar system, located even further from the Sun than Pluto.
The researchers reported that they have not yet been able to see it through a telescope. According to them, the planet was discovered when studying the movement of small celestial bodies in deep space. The mass of the celestial body is about 10 times the mass of the Earth, but scientists have yet to verify its existence.
Institute astronomers have only a rough idea of where the planet might be in the starry sky, and no doubt their suggestion will launch a campaign to find it.
"There are many telescopes on Earth theoretically capable of finding it. I really hope that now, after our announcement, people around the world will start looking for the ninth planet," said Michael Brown.
Elliptical orbit
According to scientists, the space object is about 20 times farther from the Sun than Neptune, which is 4.5 billion km away.
Unlike the almost circular orbits of other planets in the Solar System, this object is supposed to move in an elliptical orbit, and a complete revolution around the Sun takes from 10 thousand to 20 thousand years.
Scientists have studied the movement of objects consisting mainly of ice in the Kuiper Belt. Pluto is in this belt.
The researchers noticed a certain location of some bodies in the Belt, in particular such large objects as Sedna and 2012 VP113. In their opinion, this can only be explained by the presence of an unknown large space object.
"All the most distant objects move in the same direction on an inexplicable trajectory, and we realized that the only explanation for this is the existence of a large, distant planet that holds them together as they orbit the Sun," Brown said.
Planet X
The idea of the existence of the so-called Planet X, located on the periphery of the solar system, has been discussed in scientific circles for more than 100 years. She is remembered and then forgotten.
The current speculation is of particular interest because of the study's lead author.
Brown specializes in searching for distant objects, and it was his discovery of the dwarf planet Eris in the Kuiper Belt in 2005 that led to Pluto losing planetary status a year later. Then it was assumed that Eris is slightly larger than Pluto, but now it has become clear that it is slightly smaller than it.
Researchers studying distant objects in the solar system have been speculating for some time on the possibility of a planet the size of Mars or Earth due to the size and shape of the planets in the Kuiper Belt. But until you can see the planet through a telescope, the idea of its existence will be perceived with skepticism.
The study by Michael Brown and Konstantin Batygin was published in the Astronomical Journal.
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Scientists: There may be thousands of planets in the galaxy "for life" ... scientists. According to staff at University College London, outside of our solar systems there may be thousands of moon-like planets on which existence is possible ... colleagues have managed to find a new way to detect planets beyond our solar systems- the so-called exoplanets. Scientists have been recently engaged in the search for exoplanets, actively competing ... Australian scientists arranged SMS-correspondence with aliens ... Gliese 581d is the closest Earth-like planet beyond solar systems. The expected delivery time is approximately 20 years, and there is no ... planet," said Hello from Earth project spokesman Wilson de Silva. System space SMS-mail was developed in preparation for the National...Society, 06 Feb 2009, 11:03
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NASA sponsors search for extraterrestrial life NASA Announces Fellowship to Find Planets Beyond solar systems(exoplanets) and traces of life on them, reports Reuters. . In the announcement... a star comparable to the Sun. Since 1994 astronomers have discovered outside solar systems already more than 300 planets, most of which are unsuitable for maintenance ... The smallest planet in the solar system has become even smaller Observational data from the Messenger spacecraft showed the smallest planet solar systems, Mercury, has become even smaller, reports the BBC. . Photo analysis, ... these elements were knocked out of the surface of the planet sunny wind - a stream of charged particles that bombards solar system. Mercury is the closest planet to... Meteorite will tell about the emergence of life on Earth ... a rare meteorite with which scientists hope to understand how Sunny system reports the BBC. . The Natural History Museum in London acquired from ... a rare meteorite, with the help of which scientists expect to understand how Sunny system reports the BBC. Meteorite "Ivuna" weighing 705 grams fell ... Tanzania. "Ivuna" consists of the same substances from which it was formed Sunny system 4.5 billion years ago. Of the 35,000 known meteorites... The planet Pluto has gained a new status ... . This is what Pluto, previously considered the ninth planet, will now be called. solar systems reports the BBC. . Almost two years have passed since ... our solar system there could be more than 50 planets. To prevent this, the members of the IAU made the historic decision to consider that in solar system ... , located even further from the Sun in the Kuiper belt at the boundaries solar systems. According to tradition, the celestial bodies of this belt receive mythological names. Committee... Fastest spinning object in space discovered An amateur astronomer from the UK has discovered the fastest rotating astronomical object in solar system, reports the BBC. According to Richard Miles, the author of the discovery...Astronomers have discovered a mini-copy of the solar system At a distance of 5 thousand light years from our solar systems astronomers have discovered a star that is half the size of the Sun, and ... from a friend exactly two times smaller than in our system, i.e. researchers speak of almost complete proportionality. Observation of this stellar system and the planet began back in 2006. The lens effect increased the brightness...
Society, 23 Sep 2007, 15:03
Scientists discover warm patches on icy Neptune Scientists have found that on Neptune, one of the coldest planets solar systems, where the average air temperature is 320 degrees below zero according to ... the Sun, lasts 165 Earth years. Neptune gets 1/900 part sunny Water found on a planet outside the solar system ... that life exists not only on Earth. . On a planet outside solar systems found water. Scientists from the US National Aeronautics Administration Center... and Uranus. This is the second time water has been discovered on the planet outside solar systems, reports the BBC. Prior to this, American scientists found signs ... scientists hope that on other, "colder" planets beyond solar systems conditions could have developed similar to those that allowed life to arise on ... Astronomers have discovered a planet suitable for life ... an exoplanet (that is, a celestial body orbiting a star outside solar NASA will send Dawn into space to study asteroids ... NASA has decided to resume the program to study the two largest asteroids solar systems- Ceres and Vesta. Previously, preparations for the flight of the Dawn apparatus were suspended ... it is believed that the asteroids Ceres and Vesta formed in different parts solar systems about 4.5 billion years ago, and their study will help ... manned flights and for unmanned cargo flights. Systems ships will be built on the basis of already tested projects and technologies ... A satellite to Pluto was launched from the US spaceport ... non-flying weather.. The spacecraft's destination is the most distant planet solar systems- Pluto. The distance to it is 4.8 billion km. Like... apparently not the last planet in solar system. So, according to American scientists, they managed to discover the tenth planet in system- this statement was made by the representative ...